Epsom Derby Form Analysis A Trend

Epsom Derby Form Analysis A Trend My Opinion

Having watched the 2024 Epsom Derby a very interesting race and I was on Prince Of Arras at ante-post 64.0 and before the race was due to run was second favourite at approximate decimal odds 5.4. Now I thought I had the winning lottery ticket here and wrong I was!


The race looked tight at top of the betting market and the race did not go the right way for the first and second favourites in the race as they finished down the field. My horse selection Prince Of Arras finished tail end of the field.


Now this got me scratching my head when I checked the race result!


The winner Lambourn had an OR – Official rating of 109 by Scat Daddy. The favourite Delacroix was favourite at 2/1 and had an OR of 116 and finished way down the field.
My horse Prince Of Arras had an OR of 115 and finished 2nd last!


Am I talking through my pocket, no I do not wager much I like to get the horse form right and it is as simple as that. 


I am not a horse training expert or horse biometrics expert, but I looked at past Epsom derby races and there are so many large priced horses making the first 3 positions in  a race. 


So, I have these questions,

Are horses improving later in the flat season before the Epsom derby?
Are previous races a horse has run taking the sting out of horses before the Epsom derby?
Are some horses not handling the Epsom derby course?


I do not know the answers to the above questions. Is it simply down to the sure class of the field and these are the best horses racing against each other.


I will leave it there!